Monday, 10 February 2020

DECISION MAKING: HEURISTICS & JUDGEMENTAL


How do individuals, entrepreneurs, managers, leaders make decisionsA decision is a choice, result or the action or process of resolving a question, reaching a conclusion after consideration, and formal judgment. 

Decision-making is central in entrepreneurial activity (Beeka, 2015; Casson, 2003a, Casson, 2010; Cole, 1946; Shane, 2003; Stauss, 1944). Our studies find entrepreneurs utilise two key decision types throughout the entrepreneurship process. That is, judgmental (rational) and heuristics (bias), with the latter more noticeable during nascent stages, or when there is little information available to make rational judgements. 



The complete process of entrepreneurship involves exercising judgment (Casson, 2003a, 2010), and Casson (2003a, p. 20) acknowledges, “An entrepreneur is someone who specialises in making judgmental decisions about the coordination of scarce resources. A judgemental decision is one where different individual’s sharing the same objectives and acting under similar circumstances, would make different decisions” (Casson, 2003a, p. 14). Thus, rational judgement is implicit and a timeless principle which is tacit, a personal quality and part of social intelligence (Casson, 2010).

Simon et al. (2000), Beeka & Rimmington (2011a, b), and Beeka (2015) support that during new venture creation heuristics leads to low risk perception, and this overconfidence is due to cognitive biases, or control illusions. Hence, resource-starved entrepreneurs construe meaning rather than wait to gather all information before making decisions (Beeka & Rimmington 2011a, b; Beeka, 2015, 2017; Holcomb et al., 2009; Mitchell et al., 2007; Tversky and Kahneman, 1973). The reality of decision-making is entrepreneurs frequently neither have encompassing information nor thorough cost-benefit analysis before making decisions. They possibly accept risk partially in anticipation of escaping it (Low and Macmillan, 1988). 


Therefore, when entrepreneurs start ventures without formal knowledge of business creation strategies (Mitchell et al., 2007; Wickham, 2004, 2006). It is argued the utility of biases and heuristics are one reason why some struggle with management (Busenitz, 1999). However, Baron (2008) supports although entrepreneurs ‘make it up as they go along’ past mistakes and errors are taken into consideration when making opportunity decisions (Baron, 1998, 2012). The fact is, many entrepreneurs are adaptable and innovative when making decisions, being novel, original and/or creative

Summarily, first, entrepreneurs make innovative judgmental decisions to recombine scarce resources, and these are rational, calculated and deliberate (Casson, 2003a, 2010). Secondly, innovative heuristic decisions involve making decisions on ones feet given incomplete information consistent to these authors (Baron, 2012; Beeka and Rimmington, 2011a, b, 2015; Holcomb et al., 2009 Mitchell et al., 2007; Tversky and Kahneman, 1973; Schwartz et al., 2010; Wickham, 2004, 2006). 
The entrepreneurs' reality is often uncertainty, information gaps, scarce resources and a harsh unplanned environment, and the heuristic trial and error method becomes 'rule of thumb' decisions. Therefore, during the complete lifecycle of venturing, heuristics enable confidence in assessing and perceiving low risk (Beeka 2015, 2017; Simon et al., 2000; Tversky and Kahneman, 2000). 

Ultimately, innovative judgemental and heuristic decision-making are fundamental in adjusting to political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental business forces.


SHEFFIELD DOCTORAL CONFERENCE: WON BEST PAPER 

1. Beeka, B. (2011) Entrepreneurship as a career choice: Opportunity recognition model from an emerging economy. In Lee, B and Palmer, N.J (Eds) Sheffield Doctoral Conference Proceedings, pp. 19-36. Sheffield: The University of Sheffield Management School Research Office. 

DOCTORATE THESIS

2. Beeka, B. H (2015) Entrepreneurship as a Viable Career Choice for Nigerian Youth. Sheffield Business School, Sheffield Hallam University Doctor of Philosophy Thesis. 

JOURNALS 



#Decisions #LEAD #ECC #Career #Employability #Intrapreneurship #Entrepreneurship #DrBeekaAcademy

We wish you the best as you achieve Decision-Making Autonomy. 



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Disclaimer: Every possible effort has been made to ensure that the information contained in this article is accurate. While every precaution has been taken in the research but it is advised that names, places, narratives and quotes be independently confirmed by the reader. The publisher and the author cannot accept responsibility for any errors or omissions, however caused. The editor, publisher or author can accept no responsibility for loss or damage occasioned to any person acting, or refraining from action, as a result of the material in this publication.

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